Football · Australia Cup · 09/08, 09:30

Prediction: Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC

Team pages: Brisbane Roar · Sydney FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Brisbane Roar1.12
Sydney FC1.58
1X2
26% 26% 48%
Brisbane Roar Draw Sydney FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Roar 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDDLLWWW
Sydney FC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWDDLWD
Head-to-head
Brisbane Roar 1–2–3 Sydney FC (6 last)
  • Brisbane Roar0-0Sydney FC
  • Sydney FC1-0Brisbane Roar
  • Sydney FC3-4Brisbane Roar
  • Brisbane Roar2-3Sydney FC
  • Sydney FC1-1Brisbane Roar
  • Brisbane Roar1-2Sydney FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Roar 1518 · Sydney FC 1542
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
Our model26%27%47%
Market27%25%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sydney FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Brisbane RoarSydney FC
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.21.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.42.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Roar 123 Sydney FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Australia A-League
Brisbane Roar0-0
HT 0-0
Sydney FC
21/02/26
Australia A-League
Sydney FC1-0
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
18/01/25
Australia A-League
Sydney FC3-4
HT 1-3
Brisbane Roar
01/11/24
Australia A-League
Brisbane Roar2-3
HT 0-0
Sydney FC
10/03/24
Australia A-League
Sydney FC1-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
06/01/24
Australia A-League
Brisbane Roar1-2
HT 1-2
Sydney FC

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrisbane RoarSydney FC
Perth Glory 1-2 L 0-0 D
Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Roar

DDLDDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/07 Sydney Olympic
Australia Cup
0-0 3-0 72 W
22/07 Ipswich FC
Australia Friendlies
5-0 30 W
15/07 Caboolture FC
Australia Friendlies
2-0 3-0 82 W
25/04 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
0-1 1-2 67 L
18/04 Melbourne City
Australia A-League
1-0 2-3 32 L
10/04 Central Coast Mariners
Australia A-League
1-0 2-2 105 D
02/04 Sydney FC
Australia A-League
0-0 0-0 44 D
21/03 Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League
1-1 1-2 66 L
13/03 Western Sydney Wanderers
Australia A-League
1-2 2-2 05 D
28/02 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
1-1 1-1 74 D

Sydney FC

DWDDWDDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Tottenham
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 1-1 01 D
21/07 Bayswater City
Australia Cup
2-1 5-1 52 W
23/05 Auckland FC
Australia A-League
0-0 0-1 26 L
16/05 Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
0-0 1-1 510 D
09/05 Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
0-0 1-1 52 D
02/05 Melbourne Victory
Australia A-League
0-0 1-0 64 W
26/04 Auckland FC
Australia A-League
0-0 2-2 42 D
18/04 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
0-0 0-0 43 D
11/04 Western Sydney Wanderers
Australia A-League
1-0 2-0 64 W
02/04 Brisbane Roar
Australia A-League
0-0 0-0 44 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney FC win (48%). Probabilities: Brisbane Roar 26%, draw 26%, Sydney FC 48%.

How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Brisbane Roar 1.12 · Sydney FC 1.58), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.