Football · Australia Cup · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Rochedale Rovers1.5
SD Raiders1.18
1X2
Rochedale Rovers
Draw
SD Raiders
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rochedale Rovers
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
SD Raiders
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rochedale Rovers 1500 · SD Raiders 1523
| Rochedale Rovers | Draw | SD Raiders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rochedale Rovers | SD Raiders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.7 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rochedale Rovers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Wynnum Wolves Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
SD Raiders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St George City FA Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rochedale Rovers win (44%). Probabilities: Rochedale Rovers 44%, draw 26%, SD Raiders 29%.
How many goals are expected in Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Rochedale Rovers 1.5 · SD Raiders 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.