Football · Colombia Primera A · 31/07, 03:00
Prediction: Atletico Bucaramanga vs Llaneros
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Atletico Bucaramanga1.67
Llaneros0.63
1X2
Atletico Bucaramanga
Draw
Llaneros
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Bucaramanga
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Llaneros
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Bucaramanga
2–2–2
Llaneros
(6 last)
- Llaneros1-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga2-0Llaneros
- Llaneros2-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Llaneros1-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga3-1Llaneros
- Llaneros2-0Atletico Bucaramanga
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Bucaramanga 1483 · Llaneros 1519
| Atletico Bucaramanga | Draw | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 26% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 25% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Bucaramanga | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Bucaramanga 2–2–2 Llaneros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 25/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
| 03/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 06/09/15 Colombia Primera B | Llaneros | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 14/04/15 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Bucaramanga | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
| 10/08/14 Colombia Primera B | Llaneros | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Boyaca Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Cucuta Deportivo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Fortaleza CEIF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Internacional de Bogota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Bucaramanga | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Alianza | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Cali | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Boyaca Chico | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Real San Andres Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/04 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Llaneros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Patriotas FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 02/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Llaneros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Bucaramanga win (62%). Probabilities: Atletico Bucaramanga 62%, draw 25%, Llaneros 13%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Llaneros?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Atletico Bucaramanga 1.67 · Llaneros 0.63), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Llaneros?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.