Football · Colombia Primera A · 10/08, 01:10
Prediction: Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas
Team pages: Jaguares de Cordoba · Once Caldas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Jaguares de Cordoba0.89
Once Caldas1.41
1X2
Jaguares de Cordoba
Draw
Once Caldas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jaguares de Cordoba
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Once Caldas
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jaguares de Cordoba
3–2–1
Once Caldas
(6 last)
- Once Caldas1-1Jaguares de Cordoba
- Once Caldas2-0Jaguares de Cordoba
- Jaguares de Cordoba3-0Once Caldas
- Once Caldas0-0Jaguares de Cordoba
- Jaguares de Cordoba1-0Once Caldas
- Once Caldas0-1Jaguares de Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaguares de Cordoba 1453 · Once Caldas 1539
| Jaguares de Cordoba | Draw | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 48% |
| Market | 23% | 29% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Once Caldas (rating 1453 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Jaguares de Cordoba: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jaguares de Cordoba | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.3 | 2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaguares de Cordoba 3–2–1 Once Caldas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 26/08/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 19/02/24 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Once Caldas |
| 14/10/23 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 02/05/23 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 01/10/22 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cali | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Fortaleza CEIF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Alianza | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jaguares de Cordoba | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Aguilas Doradas | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Once Caldas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaguares de Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/05 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/07 | Envigado FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Envigado FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 21/04 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Once Caldas win (48%). Probabilities: Jaguares de Cordoba 23%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 48%.
How many goals are expected in Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Jaguares de Cordoba 0.89 · Once Caldas 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.