Football · Colombia Primera A · 09/08, 01:25

Prediction: Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota

Team pages: Deportes Tolima · Internacional de Bogota

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Deportes Tolima1.92
Internacional de Bogota0.73
1X2
64% 23% 12%
Deportes Tolima Draw Internacional de Bogota
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Tolima 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLDWWLWL
Internacional de Bogota 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLWLWW
Head-to-head
Deportes Tolima 0–1–0 Internacional de Bogota (1 last)
  • Internacional de Bogota0-0Deportes Tolima
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Tolima 1510 · Internacional de Bogota 1494
Deportes TolimaDrawInternacional de Bogota
Our model65%23%12%
Market64%23%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.51.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.72.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.63.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Tolima 010 Internacional de Bogota

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/02/26
Colombia Primera A
Internacional de Bogota0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Independiente Medellin 3300 749
2 Llaneros 3210 527
3 America de Cali 2200 906
4 Aguilas Doradas 2200 426
5 Millonarios 3201 316
6 Deportes Tolima 3201 656
7 Atletico Bucaramanga 3120 325
8 Once Caldas 2110 734
9 Atletico Nacional Medellin 1100 303
10 Deportivo Cali 2101 213
11 Fortaleza CEIF 3021 242
12 Independiente Santa Fe 2011 341
13 Alianza 2011 231
14 Deportivo Pereira 2011 011
15 Cucuta Deportivo 2011 261
16 Junior 2002 130
17 Internacional de Bogota 1001 020
18 Deportivo Pasto 3003 370
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 2002 050
20 Boyaca Chico 1001 070

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
Alianza 2-1 W 2-1 W
Atletico Nacional Medellin 1-3 L 1-7 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Tolima (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Tolima

WLLLDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-2 2-3 95 L
01/08 Alianza
Colombia Primera A
1-1 2-1 25 W
29/07 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Cup
1-0 1-2 07 L
26/07 Junior
Colombia Primera A
2-0 2-1 13 W
22/07 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Cup
0-1 2-1 94 W
27/05 Universitario de Deportes
Copa Libertadores
0-0 0-0 32 D
24/05 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-3 43 L
20/05 Coquimbo Unido
Copa Libertadores
0-2 0-3 94 L
17/05 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-1 86 L
14/05 Deportivo Pasto
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-0 23 W

Internacional de Bogota

WLWLLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-0 82 W
30/07 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Cup
1-0 2-1 74 W
26/07 America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-2 85 L
22/07 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Cup
0-0 1-0 73 W
13/05 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
1-2 1-7 31 L
09/05 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
1-1 1-2 66 L
03/05 Independiente Santa Fe
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-3 14 L
27/04 Boyaca Chico
Colombia Primera A
3-0 4-0 25 W
21/04 Once Caldas
Colombia Primera A
0-1 1-2 27 L
13/04 Alianza
Colombia Primera A
0-1 2-1 40 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Tolima win (64%). Probabilities: Deportes Tolima 64%, draw 23%, Internacional de Bogota 12%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Deportes Tolima 1.92 · Internacional de Bogota 0.73), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.