Football · Colombia Primera A · 05/08, 03:20
Prediction: Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto
Team pages: Millonarios · Deportivo Pasto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Millonarios1.74
Deportivo Pasto1.06
1X2
Millonarios
Draw
Deportivo Pasto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Millonarios
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pasto
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Millonarios
4–1–1
Deportivo Pasto
(6 last)
- Deportivo Pasto2-1Millonarios
- Millonarios1-0Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto0-1Millonarios
- Deportivo Pasto0-0Millonarios
- Millonarios2-1Deportivo Pasto
- Millonarios1-0Deportivo Pasto
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Millonarios (rating 1502 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Millonarios: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Millonarios | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Millonarios 4–1–1 Deportivo Pasto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Millonarios |
| 11/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 01/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Millonarios |
| 09/12/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Millonarios |
| 21/11/24 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 04/11/24 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fortaleza CEIF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Alianza | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Boyaca Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pasto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Internacional de Bogota | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cucuta Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millonarios
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Colo Colo America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Universitario de Deportes America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup |
5-0 | 8-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | Sao Paulo Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Patriotas FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Llaneros Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Deportivo Pasto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Millonarios win (52%). Probabilities: Millonarios 52%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pasto 22%.
How many goals are expected in Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Millonarios 1.74 · Deportivo Pasto 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.