Football · Colombia Primera A · 06/08, 03:30
Prediction: Once Caldas vs America de Cali
Team pages: Once Caldas · America de Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Once Caldas1.3
America de Cali0.92
1X2
Once Caldas
Draw
America de Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Once Caldas
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
America de Cali
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas
2–3–1
America de Cali
(6 last)
- America de Cali1-1Once Caldas
- America de Cali1-1Once Caldas
- America de Cali2-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas3-0America de Cali
- Once Caldas3-0America de Cali
- America de Cali1-1Once Caldas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Once Caldas 1567 · America de Cali 1550
| Once Caldas | Draw | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Once Caldas: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Once Caldas | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6 | 2.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas 2–3–1 America de Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas |
| 14/01/26 America Friendlies | America de Cali | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas |
| 20/09/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Once Caldas |
| 06/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 3-0 HT 1-0 | America de Cali |
| 05/12/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 3-0 HT 1-0 | America de Cali |
| 24/11/24 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | America de Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | Alianza | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Boyaca Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Internacional de Bogota | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cucuta Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Envigado FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Envigado FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 21/04 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
America de Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Houston Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Unam Pumas America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Santos Laguna America Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | CA Tigre Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Once Caldas vs America de Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Once Caldas win (45%). Probabilities: Once Caldas 45%, draw 30%, America de Cali 25%.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs America de Cali?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Once Caldas 1.3 · America de Cali 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs America de Cali?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.