Football · Colombia Primera A · 23/08, 21:00
Prediction: Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Team pages: Fortaleza CEIF · Atletico Nacional Medellin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Fortaleza CEIF1.16
Atletico Nacional Medellin1.24
1X2
Fortaleza CEIF
Draw
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza CEIF
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Nacional Medellin
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza CEIF
1–1–4
Atletico Nacional Medellin
(6 last)
- Atletico Nacional Medellin4-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Atletico Nacional Medellin2-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF1-5Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Fortaleza CEIF0-1Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Atletico Nacional Medellin1-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF0-1Atletico Nacional Medellin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Nacional Medellin (rating 1501 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Atletico Nacional Medellin: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza CEIF | Atletico Nacional Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 4.1 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza CEIF 1–1–4 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 17/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 05/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-5 HT 1-4 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 27/10/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 06/04/24 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 24/07/16 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza CEIF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Orsomarso Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Itagui Leones Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Tachira America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Nacional Medellin win (37%). Probabilities: Fortaleza CEIF 33%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional Medellin 37%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Fortaleza CEIF 1.16 · Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.