Football · Colombia Primera A · 02/09, 03:00
Prediction: Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas
Team pages: Fortaleza CEIF · Once Caldas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Fortaleza CEIF1.15
Once Caldas1.28
1X2
Fortaleza CEIF
Draw
Once Caldas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza CEIF
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Once Caldas
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza CEIF
4–2
Once Caldas
(6 last)
- Once Caldas4-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF2-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas2-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Once Caldas0-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Once Caldas0-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF2-0Once Caldas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Once Caldas (rating 1478 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Fortaleza CEIF: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza CEIF | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza CEIF 4–0–2 Once Caldas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 21/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Once Caldas |
| 01/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 02/11/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 26/04/24 Colombia Cup | Once Caldas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 13/04/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Cali | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Fortaleza CEIF | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Independiente Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Boyaca Chico | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza CEIF | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| America de Cali | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Aguilas Doradas | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Once Caldas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 10/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 21/04 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Once Caldas win (38%). Probabilities: Fortaleza CEIF 32%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 38%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Fortaleza CEIF 1.15 · Once Caldas 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.