Prediction: Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros
Team pages: Deportivo Pasto · Llaneros
- Llaneros0-1Deportivo Pasto
- Llaneros2-1Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto3-0Llaneros
- Deportivo Pasto1-0Llaneros
| Deportivo Pasto | Draw | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Llaneros (rating 1437 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Deportivo Pasto: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pasto | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 3.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pasto 3–0–1 Llaneros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 23/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 03/06/25 Colombia Cup | Deportivo Pasto | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Llaneros |
| 09/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 | Alianza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 17 | Cucuta Deportivo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pasto | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Aguilas Doradas | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Junior | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Llaneros (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Llaneros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 02/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 30/03 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Pasto win (49%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pasto 49%, draw 30%, Llaneros 21%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Deportivo Pasto 1.44 · Llaneros 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.