Football · Colombia Primera A · 28/08, 03:15
Prediction: Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto
Team pages: Internacional de Bogota · Deportivo Pasto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Internacional de Bogota1.71
Deportivo Pasto1.12
1X2
Internacional de Bogota
Draw
Deportivo Pasto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional de Bogota
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pasto
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional de Bogota
0–1–0
Deportivo Pasto
(1 last)
- Deportivo Pasto1-1Internacional de Bogota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional de Bogota 1499 · Deportivo Pasto 1445
| Internacional de Bogota | Draw | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional de Bogota (rating 1499 vs 1445).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional de Bogota 0–1–0 Deportivo Pasto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Internacional de Bogota |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Independiente Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional de Bogota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional de Bogota win (49%). Probabilities: Internacional de Bogota 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 23%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Internacional de Bogota 1.71 · Deportivo Pasto 1.12), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.