Football · Colombia Primera A · 06/09, 03:20
Prediction: Junior vs Jaguares de Cordoba
Team pages: Junior · Jaguares de Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Junior1.78
Jaguares de Cordoba1.14
1X2
Junior
Draw
Jaguares de Cordoba
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Junior
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Jaguares de Cordoba
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Junior
4–2–0
Jaguares de Cordoba
(6 last)
- Jaguares de Cordoba0-2Junior
- Jaguares de Cordoba1-1Junior
- Junior3-1Jaguares de Cordoba
- Jaguares de Cordoba0-0Junior
- Junior1-0Jaguares de Cordoba
- Jaguares de Cordoba0-2Junior
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junior (rating 1488 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Junior: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Junior | Jaguares de Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.5 | 6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Junior 4–2–0 Jaguares de Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 29/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Junior |
| 16/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 30/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Junior |
| 23/04/23 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jaguares de Cordoba |
| 30/10/22 Colombia Primera A | Jaguares de Cordoba | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Junior |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Independiente Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Junior | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 18 | Alianza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| 19 | Boyaca Chico | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 2 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Junior | Jaguares de Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Once Caldas | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 02/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | D |
Jaguares de Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 10/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 07/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junior vs Jaguares de Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Junior win (51%). Probabilities: Junior 51%, draw 26%, Jaguares de Cordoba 23%.
How many goals are expected in Junior vs Jaguares de Cordoba?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Junior 1.78 · Jaguares de Cordoba 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Junior vs Jaguares de Cordoba?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.