Football · Colombia Primera A · 26/08, 03:00

Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Alianza

Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Alianza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Cucuta Deportivo1.16
Alianza0.82
1X2
43% 31% 26%
Cucuta Deportivo Draw Alianza
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cucuta Deportivo 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDLLDLDW
Alianza 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLDDDLLD
Head-to-head
Cucuta Deportivo 0–1–0 Alianza (1 last)
  • Alianza1-1Cucuta Deportivo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cucuta Deportivo 1478 · Alianza 1471
Cucuta DeportivoDrawAlianza
Our model42%33%25%
Market44%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cucuta DeportivoAlianza
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.71 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.52.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.35.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 010 Alianza

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/02/26
Colombia Primera A
Alianza1-1
HT 1-1
Cucuta Deportivo

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 America de Cali 5410 11013
2 Deportes Tolima 5311 8610
3 Independiente Medellin 4301 759
4 Atletico Bucaramanga 5230 649
5 Llaneros 4220 638
6 Aguilas Doradas 4220 648
7 Millonarios 4211 427
8 Deportivo Cali 3201 416
9 Once Caldas 4121 855
10 Independiente Santa Fe 4121 545
11 Fortaleza CEIF 4121 445
12 Cucuta Deportivo 5122 495
13 Internacional de Bogota 4112 354
14 Jaguares de Cordoba 5113 274
15 Atletico Nacional Medellin 2101 313
16 Deportivo Pereira 3021 012
17 Alianza 4022 462
18 Junior 2002 130
19 Deportivo Pasto 4004 390
20 Boyaca Chico 3003 0100

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCucuta DeportivoAlianza
Independiente Medellin 1-0 W 0-1 L
Internacional de Bogota 1-1 D 1-2 L
Fortaleza CEIF 0-2 L 1-1 D
Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cucuta Deportivo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cucuta Deportivo

DWLDLLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
1-0 1-0 12 W
20/08 Internacional de Bogota
Colombia Primera A
0-0 1-1 310 D
08/08 Fortaleza CEIF
Colombia Primera A
0-1 0-2 24 L
04/08 Atletico Bucaramanga
Colombia Primera A
1-1 1-1 111 D
27/07 Once Caldas
Colombia Primera A
1-3 1-5 103 L
02/05 Jaguares de Cordoba
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-2 46 L
24/04 Junior
Colombia Primera A
1-1 1-1 13 D
19/04 Independiente Santa Fe
Colombia Primera A
0-3 0-5 62 L
05/04 America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-0 58 W
02/04 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 22 D

Alianza

DWLLDDDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Deportivo Pereira
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 45 D
09/08 Atletico Bucaramanga
Colombia Primera A
1-2 2-3 36 L
01/08 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
1-1 1-2 25 L
27/07 Fortaleza CEIF
Colombia Primera A
0-1 1-1 54 D
03/05 Millonarios
Colombia Primera A
1-0 2-2 38 D
27/04 Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 25 D
19/04 Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-1 0-1 68 L
13/04 Internacional de Bogota
Colombia Primera A
1-0 1-2 60 L
06/04 Deportivo Pereira
Colombia Primera A
2-0 3-2 55 W
01/04 Deportivo Pasto
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 77 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Alianza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cucuta Deportivo win (43%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 43%, draw 31%, Alianza 26%.

How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Alianza?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 1.16 · Alianza 0.82), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Alianza?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.