Football · Colombia Primera A · 13/09, 21:00
Prediction: Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga
Team pages: Deportivo Pereira · Atletico Bucaramanga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Deportivo Pereira0.72
Atletico Bucaramanga1.36
1X2
Deportivo Pereira
Draw
Atletico Bucaramanga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pereira
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Bucaramanga
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Pereira
2–1–3
Atletico Bucaramanga
(6 last)
- Atletico Bucaramanga3-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira0-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-1Deportivo Pereira
- Atletico Bucaramanga1-1Deportivo Pereira
- Atletico Bucaramanga3-1Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira1-0Atletico Bucaramanga
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Pereira 1477 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1506
| Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Atletico Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 31% | 51% |
| Market | 20% | 28% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Bucaramanga: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pereira | Atletico Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.7 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pereira 2–1–3 Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 31/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 15/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 13/10/24 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 03/06/24 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 05/05/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Junior | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 2 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pereira | Atletico Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Alianza | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Llaneros | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Tolima | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Bucaramanga (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 31/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Bucaramanga win (52%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pereira 19%, draw 29%, Atletico Bucaramanga 52%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Deportivo Pereira 0.72 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1.36), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.