Football · Colombia Primera A · 20/09, 23:05
Prediction: Atletico Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota
Team pages: Atletico Bucaramanga · Internacional de Bogota
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Atletico Bucaramanga1.71
Internacional de Bogota0.85
1X2
Atletico Bucaramanga
Draw
Internacional de Bogota
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Bucaramanga
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Internacional de Bogota
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Bucaramanga
0–1–0
Internacional de Bogota
(1 last)
- Internacional de Bogota0-0Atletico Bucaramanga
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Bucaramanga 1514 · Internacional de Bogota 1499
| Atletico Bucaramanga | Draw | Internacional de Bogota | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Bucaramanga | Internacional de Bogota | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 3.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Bucaramanga 0–1–0 Internacional de Bogota
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Internacional de Bogota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta Deportivo | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Alianza | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Boyaca Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Bucaramanga | Internacional de Bogota |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Tolima | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Llaneros | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Millonarios | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 31/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Internacional de Bogota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 31/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 20/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Bucaramanga win (57%). Probabilities: Atletico Bucaramanga 57%, draw 26%, Internacional de Bogota 17%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Atletico Bucaramanga 1.71 · Internacional de Bogota 0.85), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.