Football · Colombia Primera A · 14/09, 01:10
Prediction: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali
Team pages: Once Caldas · Deportivo Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Once Caldas1.24
Deportivo Cali0.84
1X2
Once Caldas
Draw
Deportivo Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Once Caldas
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas
4–2–0
Deportivo Cali
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali0-2Once Caldas
- Deportivo Cali0-0Once Caldas
- Deportivo Cali1-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-0Deportivo Cali
- Once Caldas4-1Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali0-1Once Caldas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Once Caldas 1552 · Deportivo Cali 1540
| Once Caldas | Draw | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Once Caldas: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Once Caldas | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 2.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.5 | 5.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas 4–2–0 Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Once Caldas |
| 11/01/26 Club Friendly List | Deportivo Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 14/11/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 25/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 14/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 02/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Independiente Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Fortaleza CEIF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Internacional de Bogota | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Junior | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 2 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Once Caldas | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Boyaca Chico | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| America de Cali | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 10/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 27/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Once Caldas win (45%). Probabilities: Once Caldas 45%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 25%.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Once Caldas 1.24 · Deportivo Cali 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.