Football · Colombia Primera A · 14/09, 03:15
Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios
Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Millonarios
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Cucuta Deportivo0.7
Millonarios1.34
1X2
Cucuta Deportivo
Draw
Millonarios
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Cucuta Deportivo
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Millonarios
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cucuta Deportivo
1–2–3
Millonarios
(6 last)
- Millonarios2-0Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo1-1Millonarios
- Millonarios1-0Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo1-1Millonarios
- Cucuta Deportivo3-1Millonarios
- Millonarios1-0Cucuta Deportivo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cucuta Deportivo 1463 · Millonarios 1510
| Cucuta Deportivo | Draw | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 31% | 51% |
| Market | 20% | 28% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Millonarios (rating 1463 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Millonarios: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cucuta Deportivo | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.7 | 6.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 1–2–3 Millonarios
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 05/11/23 Colombia Cup | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Millonarios |
| 03/11/23 Colombia Cup | Millonarios | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 31/01/20 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Millonarios |
| 03/10/19 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Millonarios |
| 08/04/19 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Junior | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 2 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cucuta Deportivo | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Alianza | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Internacional de Bogota | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Junior | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cucuta Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 13 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 23/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 08/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 27/07 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Millonarios
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Millonarios win (52%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 19%, draw 29%, Millonarios 52%.
How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 0.7 · Millonarios 1.34), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.