Football · Colombia Primera A · 24/09, 02:30

Prediction: America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas

Team pages: America de Cali · Aguilas Doradas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

America de Cali1.79

Aguilas Doradas0.95

1X2

56% 25% 19%

America de Cali Draw Aguilas Doradas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

America de Cali 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWL

Aguilas Doradas 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDDDLD

Head-to-head

America de Cali 4–1–1 Aguilas Doradas (6 last)

Aguilas Doradas0-1America de Cali
America de Cali2-1Aguilas Doradas
Aguilas Doradas0-1America de Cali
Aguilas Doradas1-2America de Cali
America de Cali0-1Aguilas Doradas
Aguilas Doradas2-2America de Cali

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (rating 1581 vs 1509).
H2H favours America de Cali: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	America de Cali	Aguilas Doradas
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	5.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.79

Under 2.251.97

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.64 → 1.65▲	Pinn 1.65
X	3.57 → 3.63▲	Pinn 3.63
2	5.28 → 5.38▲	Pinn 5.38

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:14 +53’	1.64	3.57	5.28
02:12 +52’	1.65▲	3.63▲	5.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali 4–1–1 Aguilas Doradas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	0-1 HT 0-0	America de Cali
27/07/25 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	2-1 HT 1-0	Aguilas Doradas
01/05/25 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	0-1 HT 0-0	America de Cali
17/07/24 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	1-2 HT 1-2	America de Cali
21/01/24 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	0-1 HT 0-0	Aguilas Doradas
21/09/23 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	2-2 HT 2-0	America de Cali

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	9	6	2	1	20	5	20
2	Millonarios	11	5	4	2	15	8	19
3	Atletico Nacional Medellin	7	6	0	1	17	6	18
4	Independiente Santa Fe	9	4	4	1	16	10	16
5	Independiente Medellin	8	5	1	2	15	10	16
6	Deportes Tolima	9	5	1	3	12	10	16
7	Deportivo Cali	9	4	3	2	14	8	15
8	Atletico Bucaramanga	8	3	5	0	12	8	14
9	Once Caldas	10	3	3	4	13	12	12
10	Aguilas Doradas	8	2	5	1	12	12	11
11	Llaneros	9	3	2	4	11	12	11
12	Internacional de Bogota	10	2	5	3	13	15	11
13	Cucuta Deportivo	10	2	3	5	9	18	9
14	Fortaleza CEIF	9	1	5	3	10	12	8
15	Deportivo Pasto	10	2	2	6	9	15	8
16	Alianza	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
17	Boyaca Chico	9	2	2	5	7	18	8
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	8	1	4	3	9	14	7
19	Deportivo Pereira	8	1	4	3	6	11	7
20	Junior	7	0	3	4	8	13	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	America de Cali	Aguilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto	0-1 L	2-1 W
Independiente Santa Fe	0-0 D	2-1 W
Atletico Nacional Medellin	1-0 W	0-2 L
Once Caldas	1-0 W	2-2 D
Boyaca Chico	7-0 W	2-2 D
Internacional de Bogota	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: America de Cali (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

America de Cali

LWWWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
03/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
29/08	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	1-2	2-2	13	7	D
27/08	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	4-2	4	8	W
23/08	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
10/08	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
06/08	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
03/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	3-0	7-0	9	3	W
26/07	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
13/05	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-2	0-4	2	5	L

Aguilas Doradas

DWWWDDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-2	7	8	D
13/09	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
06/09	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-2	12	9	D
30/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-2	2-2	15	1	D
22/08	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	6	10	D
19/08	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
01/08	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
26/07	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
26/04	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	4	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali win (56%). Probabilities: America de Cali 56%, draw 25%, Aguilas Doradas 19%.

How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

The model expects 2.74 goals (America de Cali 1.79 · Aguilas Doradas 0.95), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.