Football · Colombia Primera A · 03/10, 21:00

Prediction: Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba

Team pages: Aguilas Doradas · Jaguares de Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Aguilas Doradas1.68

Jaguares de Cordoba0.94

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Aguilas Doradas Draw Jaguares de Cordoba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Aguilas Doradas 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDDLDL

Jaguares de Cordoba 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDDDLL

Head-to-head

Aguilas Doradas 3–2–1 Jaguares de Cordoba (6 last)

Aguilas Doradas0-0Jaguares de Cordoba
Jaguares de Cordoba1-1Aguilas Doradas
Aguilas Doradas1-0Jaguares de Cordoba
Jaguares de Cordoba1-0Aguilas Doradas
Jaguares de Cordoba0-1Aguilas Doradas
Aguilas Doradas3-0Jaguares de Cordoba

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas Doradas (rating 1511 vs 1454).
H2H favours Aguilas Doradas: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aguilas Doradas	Jaguares de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.9	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.49 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.50
X	3.94 → 3.99▲	Pinn 3.99
2	6.34 → 6.48▲	Pinn 6.48

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +58’	1.49	3.94	6.34
04:15 +58’	1.50▲	3.99▲	6.48▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguilas Doradas 3–2–1 Jaguares de Cordoba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Colombia Cup	Aguilas Doradas	0-0 HT 0-0	Jaguares de Cordoba
24/03/26 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	1-1 HT 0-0	Aguilas Doradas
14/08/24 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	1-0 HT 1-0	Jaguares de Cordoba
10/02/24 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	1-0 HT 0-0	Aguilas Doradas
09/11/23 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	0-1 HT 0-0	Aguilas Doradas
18/05/23 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	3-0 HT 0-0	Jaguares de Cordoba

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	11	7	3	1	22	6	24
2	Atletico Bucaramanga	10	5	5	0	17	9	20
3	Millonarios	12	5	5	2	16	9	20
4	Atletico Nacional Medellin	9	6	1	2	18	9	19
5	Independiente Medellin	10	6	1	3	17	13	19
6	Deportivo Cali	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
7	Deportes Tolima	10	5	2	3	13	11	17
8	Independiente Santa Fe	10	4	4	2	16	11	16
9	Llaneros	11	4	2	5	14	14	14
10	Once Caldas	11	3	3	5	14	15	12
11	Internacional de Bogota	12	2	6	4	13	17	12
12	Cucuta Deportivo	11	3	3	5	11	19	12
13	Aguilas Doradas	9	2	5	2	12	13	11
14	Boyaca Chico	10	3	2	5	10	18	11
15	Junior	9	2	3	4	14	14	9
16	Fortaleza CEIF	10	1	5	4	11	16	8
17	Deportivo Pereira	9	1	5	3	6	11	8
18	Deportivo Pasto	11	2	2	7	9	18	8
19	Alianza	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	9	1	4	4	10	16	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aguilas Doradas	Jaguares de Cordoba
America de Cali	0-1 L	2-2 D
Atletico Nacional Medellin	0-2 L	0-3 L
Internacional de Bogota	2-2 D	0-1 L
Boyaca Chico	2-2 D	1-0 W
Independiente Medellin	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas Doradas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aguilas Doradas

WWWDDDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-1	1	7	L
18/09	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-2	7	8	D
13/09	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
06/09	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-2	12	9	D
30/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-2	2-2	15	1	D
22/08	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	6	10	D
19/08	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
01/08	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
26/07	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	2	8	W

Jaguares de Cordoba

LLLDWDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
23/09	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
06/09	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	3-3	5	6	D
29/08	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
21/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	4	10	W
10/08	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
06/08	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
02/08	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-3	0-3	8	3	L
25/07	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aguilas Doradas win (54%). Probabilities: Aguilas Doradas 54%, draw 26%, Jaguares de Cordoba 20%.

How many goals are expected in Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Aguilas Doradas 1.68 · Jaguares de Cordoba 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.