Football · Colombia Primera A · 03/10, 23:05
Prediction: Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico
Team pages: Deportes Tolima · Boyaca Chico
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Deportes Tolima1.56
Boyaca Chico1.08
1X2
Deportes Tolima
Draw
Boyaca Chico
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Tolima
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Boyaca Chico
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Tolima
4–2–0
Boyaca Chico
(6 last)
- Boyaca Chico1-1Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima4-0Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico1-4Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima2-1Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico1-1Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima2-0Boyaca Chico
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Tolima: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Tolima | Boyaca Chico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 2.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Tolima 4–2–0 Boyaca Chico
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 15/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 02/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Deportes Tolima |
| 15/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Boyaca Chico |
| 02/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 30/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Boyaca Chico |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Junior | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Fortaleza CEIF | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 19 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Tolima | Boyaca Chico |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 1-1 D | 0-7 L |
| Once Caldas | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Alianza | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Tolima (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Tolima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 17/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Boyaca Chico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Tolima win (47%). Probabilities: Deportes Tolima 47%, draw 28%, Boyaca Chico 25%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Deportes Tolima 1.56 · Boyaca Chico 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.