Football · Colombia Primera A · 03/10, 02:45
Prediction: Deportivo Cali vs Alianza
Team pages: Deportivo Cali · Alianza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Deportivo Cali1.56
Alianza0.72
1X2
Deportivo Cali
Draw
Alianza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cali
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Alianza
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cali
2–1–3
Alianza
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali1-0Alianza
- Alianza1-0Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali0-1Alianza
- Alianza2-0Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali1-0Alianza
- Alianza3-3Deportivo Cali
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1533 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Alianza: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cali | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 2.9 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali 2–1–3 Alianza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 Colombia Cup | Deportivo Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza |
| 22/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 29/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza |
| 11/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 23/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza |
| 27/01/24 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Deportivo Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Junior | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Fortaleza CEIF | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 19 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cali | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 27/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Alianza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 03/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali 56%, draw 28%, Alianza 16%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Deportivo Cali 1.56 · Alianza 0.72), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.