Football · Colombia Primera A · 29/09, 22:30

Prediction: Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe

Team pages: Deportivo Pereira · Independiente Santa Fe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Deportivo Pereira1.18

Independiente Santa Fe1.08

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Deportivo Pereira Draw Independiente Santa Fe

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Pereira 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLDLD

Independiente Santa Fe 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWDWWL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Pereira 2–3–1 Independiente Santa Fe (6 last)

Independiente Santa Fe2-2Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira2-2Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe2-1Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Santa Fe1-1Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira1-0Independiente Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira2-0Independiente Santa Fe

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Pereira: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Pereira	Independiente Santa Fe
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.8	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.71 → 4.80▲	Pinn 4.80
X	3.39 → 3.43▲	Pinn 3.43
2	1.75 → 1.76▲	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:12 +14’	4.71	3.39	1.75
00:13 +29’	4.80▲	3.43▲	1.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pereira 2–3–1 Independiente Santa Fe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/01/26 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	2-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Pereira
14/07/25 Colombia Primera A	Deportivo Pereira	2-2 HT 0-2	Independiente Santa Fe
26/01/25 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	2-1 HT 2-1	Deportivo Pereira
04/10/24 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Pereira
18/02/24 Colombia Primera A	Deportivo Pereira	1-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Santa Fe
05/10/23 Colombia Cup	Deportivo Pereira	2-0 HT 1-0	Independiente Santa Fe

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	11	7	3	1	22	6	24
2	Atletico Bucaramanga	10	5	5	0	17	9	20
3	Millonarios	12	5	5	2	16	9	20
4	Atletico Nacional Medellin	9	6	1	2	18	9	19
5	Independiente Medellin	9	6	1	2	17	11	19
6	Deportivo Cali	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
7	Deportes Tolima	10	5	2	3	13	11	17
8	Independiente Santa Fe	10	4	4	2	16	11	16
9	Llaneros	10	4	2	4	13	12	14
10	Once Caldas	11	3	3	5	14	15	12
11	Aguilas Doradas	9	2	5	2	12	13	11
12	Internacional de Bogota	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
13	Boyaca Chico	10	3	2	5	10	18	11
14	Cucuta Deportivo	10	2	3	5	9	18	9
15	Fortaleza CEIF	10	1	5	4	11	16	8
16	Deportivo Pasto	11	2	2	7	9	18	8
17	Alianza	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
18	Deportivo Pereira	8	1	4	3	6	11	7
19	Jaguares de Cordoba	9	1	4	4	10	16	7
20	Junior	8	1	3	4	12	14	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Pereira	Independiente Santa Fe
Aguilas Doradas	2-2 D	1-2 L
Millonarios	1-1 D	3-2 W
Alianza	0-0 D	4-1 W
Fortaleza CEIF	0-0 D	2-2 D
America de Cali	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Santa Fe (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Pereira

WLLDDWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	5	8	D
13/09	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
07/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
04/09	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-3	2	6	L
01/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
22/08	Alianza Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
01/08	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
25/07	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
04/05	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
25/04	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	5	7	W

Independiente Santa Fe

LDWDDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
19/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
12/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
03/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-1	3-2	7	8	W
30/08	Junior Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
08/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
03/08	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
26/07	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Pereira win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pereira 37%, draw 31%, Independiente Santa Fe 32%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Deportivo Pereira 1.18 · Independiente Santa Fe 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.