Football · Colombia Primera A · 09/10, 03:10
Prediction: Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios
Team pages: Fortaleza CEIF · Millonarios
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Fortaleza CEIF1.19
Millonarios1.37
1X2
Fortaleza CEIF
Draw
Millonarios
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza CEIF
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Millonarios
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza CEIF
0–1–5
Millonarios
(6 last)
- Millonarios2-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Millonarios3-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF0-2Millonarios
- Millonarios2-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF1-2Millonarios
- Fortaleza CEIF2-3Millonarios
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Millonarios (rating 1456 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Millonarios: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza CEIF | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza CEIF 0–1–5 Millonarios
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 21/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 06/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Millonarios |
| 17/10/24 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 31/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Millonarios |
| 18/08/22 Colombia Cup | Fortaleza CEIF | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Millonarios |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Cucuta Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 16 | Junior | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Fortaleza CEIF | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza CEIF | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Boyaca Chico | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Llaneros | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Pereira | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Millonarios (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 20/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
Millonarios
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Millonarios win (40%). Probabilities: Fortaleza CEIF 31%, draw 29%, Millonarios 40%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Fortaleza CEIF 1.19 · Millonarios 1.37), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.