Football · Colombia Primera A · 18/10, 23:00
Prediction: Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali
Team pages: Atletico Bucaramanga · America de Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Atletico Bucaramanga1.24
America de Cali1.24
1X2
Atletico Bucaramanga
Draw
America de Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Bucaramanga
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
America de Cali
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Bucaramanga
1–1–4
America de Cali
(6 last)
- America de Cali2-0Atletico Bucaramanga
- America de Cali2-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- America de Cali0-0Atletico Bucaramanga
- America de Cali2-0Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga1-0America de Cali
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-4America de Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Bucaramanga 1549 · America de Cali 1545
| Atletico Bucaramanga | Draw | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours America de Cali: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Bucaramanga | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Bucaramanga 1–1–4 America de Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 06/03/26 Copa Sudamericana | America de Cali | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 17/09/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 04/09/25 Colombia Cup | America de Cali | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 28/08/25 Colombia Cup | Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America de Cali |
| 03/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-4 HT 0-1 | America de Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 24 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 12 |
| 15 | Boyaca Chico | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
| 16 | Junior | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 11 |
| 17 | Fortaleza CEIF | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Bucaramanga | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Aguilas Doradas | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Junior | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Tolima | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Alianza | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
America de Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 27/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Bucaramanga win (35%). Probabilities: Atletico Bucaramanga 35%, draw 30%, America de Cali 35%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Atletico Bucaramanga 1.24 · America de Cali 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.