Football · Colombia Primera A · 10/10, 22:30
Prediction: Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali
Team pages: Deportivo Pereira · Deportivo Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Deportivo Pereira0.84
Deportivo Cali1.61
1X2
Deportivo Pereira
Draw
Deportivo Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pereira
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Pereira
2–1–3
Deportivo Cali
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali1-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Cali1-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-0Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali0-2Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-2Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Pereira0-2Deportivo Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Pereira 1434 · Deportivo Cali 1566
| Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 27% | 54% |
| Market | 19% | 27% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1434 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pereira 2–1–3 Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 04/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 16/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 17/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 20/01/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 18/07/23 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 16 | Fortaleza CEIF | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 10 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Cucuta Deportivo | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Internacional de Bogota | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Aguilas Doradas | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Millonarios | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Pasto | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Alianza | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 5 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 29/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 26/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 18/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 27/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Cali win (55%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pereira 18%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 55%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Deportivo Pereira 0.84 · Deportivo Cali 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.