Football · Colombia Primera A · 19/10, 03:10
Prediction: Deportivo Cali vs Junior
Team pages: Deportivo Cali · Junior
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Deportivo Cali1.67
Junior1.24
1X2
Deportivo Cali
Draw
Junior
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cali
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Junior
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cali
1–2–3
Junior
(6 last)
- Junior1-2Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali0-2Junior
- Junior0-0Deportivo Cali
- Junior3-0Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali0-0Junior
- Junior3-0Deportivo Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Cali 1554 · Junior 1491
| Deportivo Cali | Draw | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1554 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Junior: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cali | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 5.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali 1–2–3 Junior
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cali |
| 13/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 26/01/25 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 15/11/24 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 29/04/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Junior |
| 19/11/23 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 24 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 12 |
| 15 | Boyaca Chico | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
| 16 | Junior | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 11 |
| 17 | Fortaleza CEIF | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 11 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 10 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cali | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Once Caldas | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Internacional de Bogota | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 27/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 27/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali win (46%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali 46%, draw 28%, Junior 26%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Deportivo Cali 1.67 · Junior 1.24), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.