Football · Colombia Primera A · 10/10, 01:00
Prediction: Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
Team pages: Alianza · Aguilas Doradas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Alianza1.16
Aguilas Doradas1.24
1X2
Alianza
Draw
Aguilas Doradas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Aguilas Doradas
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alianza
2–1–3
Aguilas Doradas
(6 last)
- Aguilas Doradas1-0Alianza
- Aguilas Doradas1-0Alianza
- Alianza4-0Aguilas Doradas
- Alianza0-0Aguilas Doradas
- Alianza3-0Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas4-0Alianza
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas Doradas (rating 1437 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Aguilas Doradas: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza | Aguilas Doradas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 3.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza 2–1–3 Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza |
| 18/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza |
| 04/06/25 Colombia Cup | Alianza | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 26/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 06/11/24 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 17/04/24 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 11 |
| 16 | Junior | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Fortaleza CEIF | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza | Aguilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Boyaca Chico | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| America de Cali | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Pereira | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Aguilas Doradas (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 03/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 19/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aguilas Doradas win (37%). Probabilities: Alianza 33%, draw 30%, Aguilas Doradas 37%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Alianza 1.16 · Aguilas Doradas 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.