Football · Colombia Primera A · 12/10, 01:10
Prediction: Boyaca Chico vs Cucuta Deportivo
Team pages: Boyaca Chico · Cucuta Deportivo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Boyaca Chico1.23
Cucuta Deportivo0.96
1X2
Boyaca Chico
Draw
Cucuta Deportivo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Boyaca Chico
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Cucuta Deportivo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boyaca Chico
2–1–3
Cucuta Deportivo
(6 last)
- Cucuta Deportivo1-0Boyaca Chico
- Cucuta Deportivo1-2Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico0-2Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo2-2Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico2-1Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo3-0Boyaca Chico
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boyaca Chico 1485 · Cucuta Deportivo 1504
| Boyaca Chico | Draw | Cucuta Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cucuta Deportivo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boyaca Chico | Cucuta Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 1.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boyaca Chico 2–1–3 Cucuta Deportivo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 09/08/22 Colombia Primera B | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Boyaca Chico |
| 27/09/20 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 11/05/18 Colombia Cup | Cucuta Deportivo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Boyaca Chico |
| 04/05/18 Colombia Cup | Boyaca Chico | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 02/07/17 Colombia Primera B | Cucuta Deportivo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta Deportivo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza CEIF | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 10 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boyaca Chico | Cucuta Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Pasto | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Millonarios | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Alianza | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Boyaca Chico (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boyaca Chico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
Cucuta Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 27/09 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 13 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 23/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 08/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boyaca Chico vs Cucuta Deportivo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boyaca Chico win (41%). Probabilities: Boyaca Chico 41%, draw 31%, Cucuta Deportivo 28%.
How many goals are expected in Boyaca Chico vs Cucuta Deportivo?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Boyaca Chico 1.23 · Cucuta Deportivo 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boyaca Chico vs Cucuta Deportivo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.