Football · Colombia Primera A · 25/10, 01:05

Prediction: America de Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo

Team pages: America de Cali · Cucuta Deportivo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

America de Cali2

Cucuta Deportivo0.66

1X2

69% 20% 11%

America de Cali Draw Cucuta Deportivo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

America de Cali 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDWWLD

Cucuta Deportivo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLLWWW

Head-to-head

America de Cali 2–1–3 Cucuta Deportivo (6 last)

Cucuta Deportivo2-0America de Cali
Cucuta Deportivo3-1America de Cali
America de Cali2-0Cucuta Deportivo
America de Cali1-1Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo2-0America de Cali
America de Cali2-1Cucuta Deportivo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · America de Cali 1519 · Cucuta Deportivo 1521

	America de Cali	Draw	Cucuta Deportivo
Our model	68%	22%	10%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cucuta Deportivo: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	America de Cali	Cucuta Deportivo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	1.7 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.8	6.5 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +2’	1.33	4.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali 2–1–3 Cucuta Deportivo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	2-0 HT 1-0	America de Cali
26/10/19 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	3-1 HT 3-0	America de Cali
03/05/19 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	2-0 HT 0-0	Cucuta Deportivo
17/10/16 Colombia Primera B	America de Cali	1-1 HT 0-0	Cucuta Deportivo
30/05/16 Colombia Primera B	Cucuta Deportivo	2-0 HT 1-0	America de Cali
29/07/14 Colombia Primera B	America de Cali	2-1 HT 2-0	Cucuta Deportivo

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	14	8	4	2	26	10	28
2	Atletico Nacional Medellin	12	8	2	2	25	11	26
3	Deportivo Cali	14	7	5	2	20	9	26
4	Millonarios	15	6	7	2	23	13	25
5	Atletico Bucaramanga	13	6	7	0	22	12	25
6	Independiente Medellin	14	7	2	5	21	19	23
7	Independiente Santa Fe	13	6	4	3	19	13	22
8	Deportes Tolima	15	5	5	5	18	18	20
9	Once Caldas	14	5	4	5	18	16	19
10	Aguilas Doradas	14	4	7	3	19	19	19
11	Cucuta Deportivo	13	5	3	5	16	19	18
12	Llaneros	14	5	2	7	16	17	17
13	Internacional de Bogota	14	2	8	4	16	20	14
14	Junior	14	2	6	6	19	23	12
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14	26	12
16	Boyaca Chico	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
17	Fortaleza CEIF	13	1	8	4	14	19	11
18	Deportivo Pereira	13	1	7	5	8	18	10
19	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	2	4	7	15	26	10
20	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	9	18	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	America de Cali	Cucuta Deportivo
Independiente Medellin	1-2 L	1-0 W
Llaneros	2-1 W	2-1 W
Deportes Tolima	1-1 D	1-2 L
Deportivo Pasto	0-1 L	2-2 D
Alianza	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

America de Cali

DWDWLDWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
12/10	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
05/10	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
24/09	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	11	7	W
21/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
15/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
03/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
29/08	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	1-2	2-2	13	7	D
27/08	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	4-2	4	8	W
23/08	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Cucuta Deportivo

DWWLDLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
04/10	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	3-0	4-0	6	10	W
27/09	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	2-0	2-1	2	8	W
20/09	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
14/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
06/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-2	2	13	D
01/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
26/08	Alianza Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	3	11	W
23/08	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/08	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	3	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in America de Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali win (69%). Probabilities: America de Cali 69%, draw 20%, Cucuta Deportivo 11%.

How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo?

The model expects 2.66 goals (America de Cali 2 · Cucuta Deportivo 0.66), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.