Football · Colombia Primera A · 25/10, 02:15
Prediction: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira
Team pages: Once Caldas · Deportivo Pereira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Once Caldas1.58
Deportivo Pereira0.84
1X2
Once Caldas
Draw
Deportivo Pereira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Once Caldas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pereira
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas
3–2–1
Deportivo Pereira
(6 last)
- Deportivo Pereira0-0Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-1Once Caldas
- Deportivo Pereira1-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas3-1Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira0-1Once Caldas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Once Caldas (rating 1511 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Once Caldas: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Once Caldas | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas 3–2–1 Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 06/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 03/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas |
| 23/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Once Caldas |
| 20/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 04/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta Deportivo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 13 |
| 16 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza CEIF | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Once Caldas | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Internacional de Bogota | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Deportivo Cali | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Boyaca Chico | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Junior | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Pereira (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 14/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 29/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 26/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 18/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Once Caldas win (54%). Probabilities: Once Caldas 54%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 19%.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Once Caldas 1.58 · Deportivo Pereira 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.