Football · Colombia Primera A · 25/10, 20:00
Prediction: Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali
Team pages: Fortaleza CEIF · Deportivo Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Fortaleza CEIF1.15
Deportivo Cali1.27
1X2
Fortaleza CEIF
Draw
Deportivo Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza CEIF
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza CEIF
3–2–1
Deportivo Cali
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali1-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Deportivo Cali1-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF1-0Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali3-2Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF1-0Deportivo Cali
- Fortaleza CEIF2-1Deportivo Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fortaleza CEIF 1455 · Deportivo Cali 1571
| Fortaleza CEIF | Draw | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1455 vs 1571).
- H2H favours Fortaleza CEIF: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza CEIF | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza CEIF 3–2–1 Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 25/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 10/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 25/09/24 Colombia Cup | Deportivo Cali | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 18/09/24 Colombia Cup | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 30/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta Deportivo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 13 |
| 16 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza CEIF | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza CEIF | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Junior | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Once Caldas | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/10 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 20/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Cali win (38%). Probabilities: Fortaleza CEIF 32%, draw 31%, Deportivo Cali 38%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Fortaleza CEIF 1.15 · Deportivo Cali 1.27), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.