Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 21/10, 06:00

Prediction: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)

Team pages: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) · Mynavi Sendai (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1.2

Mynavi Sendai (W)0.99

1X2

41% 29% 30%

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Draw Mynavi Sendai (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWDW

Mynavi Sendai (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 2–1–3 Mynavi Sendai (W) (6 last)

Mynavi Sendai (W)1-1Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)2-3Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1-3Mynavi Sendai (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)4-0Mynavi Sendai (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)2-1Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)2-1Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1549 · Mynavi Sendai (W) 1459

	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	Draw	Mynavi Sendai (W)
Our model	40%	32%	29%
Market	42%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) (rating 1549 vs 1459).
H2H favours Mynavi Sendai (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	Mynavi Sendai (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	11/67/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	1.6 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.25

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.35 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:47 +16’	2.15	3.25	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +52’	2.41	3.00	2.90
07:27 +35’	2.41	3.03▲	2.88▼
08:32 +30’	2.37▼	3.15▲	2.84▼
10:24 +40’	2.35▼	3.21▲	2.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 2–1–3 Mynavi Sendai (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Japan League Cup Women	Mynavi Sendai (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
16/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2-3 HT 0-0	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
04/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	1-3 HT 0-0	Mynavi Sendai (W)
08/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	4-0 HT 4-0	Mynavi Sendai (W)
02/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
23/03/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	INAC Leonessa (W)	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
2	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	4	3	0	1	10	4	9
3	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	4	3	0	1	10	7	9
4	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
6	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
7	Cerezo Osaka (W)	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
8	Albirex Niigata (W)	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
9	Nojima (W)	4	1	1	2	5	11	4
10	Mynavi Sendai (W)	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
11	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	5	0	3	2	4	8	3
12	Omiya Ardija (W)	4	1	0	3	2	6	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	Mynavi Sendai (W)
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
INAC Leonessa (W)	2-1 W	3-4 L
Albirex Niigata (W)	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

LWLWLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
05/09	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
30/08	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
22/08	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
16/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	3-2	5	1	W
10/05	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
02/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
26/04	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
05/04	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
28/03	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	1	1	L

Mynavi Sendai (W)

DLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	3-4	5	0	L
05/09	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
30/08	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-3	2	1	L
23/08	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-1	6	1	W
16/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-3	6	1	L
10/05	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
03/05	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
25/04	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
05/04	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 41%, draw 29%, Mynavi Sendai (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1.2 · Mynavi Sendai (W) 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.