Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 28/10, 11:00
Prediction: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Team pages: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)1.4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1.03
1X2
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Draw
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
2–3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
(6 last)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)2-1Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
- Urawa Red Diamonds (W)0-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)0-0Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)2-2Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
- Urawa Red Diamonds (W)2-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Urawa Red Diamonds (W)2-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1528 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1540
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Urawa Red Diamonds (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 3.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 2–3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) |
| 10/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 08/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) |
| 08/12/24 Japan League Cup Women | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) |
| 09/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 27/04/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Nojima (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 9 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 12 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
|---|---|---|
| INAC Leonessa (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Urawa Red Diamonds (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 45%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1.4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.