Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 31/10, 05:00

Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Nojima (W)

Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba (W) · Nojima (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

JEF Utd Chiba (W)1.26

Nojima (W)1.26

1X2

36% 29% 36%

JEF Utd Chiba (W) Draw Nojima (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

JEF Utd Chiba (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Nojima (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

JEF Utd Chiba (W) 2–3–1 Nojima (W) (6 last)

JEF Utd Chiba (W)3-1Nojima (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)2-2Nojima (W)
Nojima (W)0-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Nojima (W)4-1JEF Utd Chiba (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)2-1Nojima (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)1-1Nojima (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1556 · Nojima (W) 1538

	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	Draw	Nojima (W)
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JEF Utd Chiba (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	Nojima (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.7	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +17’	2.50	3.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 2–3–1 Nojima (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/10/26 Japan League Cup Women	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Nojima (W)
14/02/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Nojima (W)
22/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Nojima (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	JEF Utd Chiba (W)
26/04/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Nojima (W)	4-1 HT 3-1	JEF Utd Chiba (W)
29/09/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Nojima (W)
02/05/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Nojima (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	5	4	0	1	12	4	12
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	5	4	0	1	14	8	12
3	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
4	INAC Leonessa (W)	7	3	1	3	14	13	10
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
6	Cerezo Osaka (W)	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
7	Nojima (W)	6	2	2	2	6	11	8
8	Mynavi Sendai (W)	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
9	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
10	Albirex Niigata (W)	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
11	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	6	0	3	3	4	9	3
12	Omiya Ardija (W)	5	1	0	4	3	8	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	Nojima (W)
Albirex Niigata (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
INAC Leonessa (W)	2-1 W	1-4 L
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2-1 W	1-5 L
Mynavi Sendai (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Cerezo Osaka (W)	1-3 L	2-2 D
Omiya Ardija (W)	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JEF Utd Chiba (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JEF Utd Chiba (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
21/10	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
18/10	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-1	2-1	2	0	W
05/09	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
30/08	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
23/08	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
16/05	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
10/05	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
03/05	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
25/04	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	1	0	L

Nojima (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
21/10	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
18/10	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-2	2-2	3	1	D
06/09	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-4	3	0	L
30/08	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-5	1	0	L
22/08	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
16/05	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	4-0	3	1	W
09/05	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
26/04	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	3-0	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Nojima (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JEF Utd Chiba (W) win (36%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba (W) 36%, draw 29%, Nojima (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Nojima (W)?

The model expects 2.52 goals (JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1.26 · Nojima (W) 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Nojima (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.