Football · Colombia Primera A · 02/08, 01:10
Prediction: Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Independiente Medellin1.26
Deportivo Cali1.22
1X2
Independiente Medellin
Draw
Deportivo Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Medellin
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Medellin
2–2–2
Deportivo Cali
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali3-1Independiente Medellin
- Deportivo Cali1-3Independiente Medellin
- Independiente Medellin0-0Deportivo Cali
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1530 vs 1579).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Medellin | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Medellin 2–2–2 Deportivo Cali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 31/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 17/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Medellin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 05/08/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 06/02/24 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Medellin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 23/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Independiente Medellin |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Boyaca Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Junior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cucuta Deportivo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Fortaleza CEIF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Independiente Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Internacional de Bogota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Medellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/07 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Itagui Leones Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 27/05 | Estudiantes LP Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Cusco FC Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Orsomarso Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 11/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
– | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
Deportivo Cali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Alianza Lima America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Real San Andres Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 21/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Medellin win (36%). Probabilities: Independiente Medellin 36%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 34%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Independiente Medellin 1.26 · Deportivo Cali 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.