Football · Colombia Primera A · 22/08, 23:05
Prediction: Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga
Team pages: Deportes Tolima · Atletico Bucaramanga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Deportes Tolima1.19
Atletico Bucaramanga0.92
1X2
Deportes Tolima
Draw
Atletico Bucaramanga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Tolima
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Atletico Bucaramanga
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Tolima
2–3–1
Atletico Bucaramanga
(6 last)
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-0Deportes Tolima
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-0Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima0-0Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga2-0Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima2-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-2Deportes Tolima
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Tolima: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Tolima | Atletico Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Tolima 2–3–1 Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 04/12/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 23/11/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 20/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 06/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 01/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Tolima |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Tolima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Universitario de Deportes Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 31/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Real San Andres Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Tolima win (41%). Probabilities: Deportes Tolima 41%, draw 32%, Atletico Bucaramanga 27%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Deportes Tolima 1.19 · Atletico Bucaramanga 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.