Football · Colombia Primera A · 27/08, 01:25
Prediction: America de Cali vs Junior
Team pages: America de Cali · Junior
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
America de Cali1.66
Junior0.93
1X2
America de Cali
Draw
Junior
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
America de Cali
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Junior
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America de Cali
2–1–3
Junior
(6 last)
- Junior2-1America de Cali
- Junior2-1America de Cali
- America de Cali1-1Junior
- America de Cali2-1Junior
- America de Cali0-1Junior
- Junior1-2America de Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America de Cali 1581 · Junior 1509
| America de Cali | Draw | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (rating 1581 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Junior: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America de Cali | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali 2–1–3 Junior
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-1 HT 1-1 | America de Cali |
| 05/12/25 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-1 HT 0-0 | America de Cali |
| 24/11/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Junior |
| 25/10/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Junior |
| 16/10/25 Colombia Cup | America de Cali | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 03/10/25 Colombia Cup | Junior | 1-2 HT 0-1 | America de Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Independiente Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America de Cali | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Once Caldas | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America de Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America de Cali vs Junior?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali win (53%). Probabilities: America de Cali 53%, draw 27%, Junior 20%.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Junior?
The model expects 2.59 goals (America de Cali 1.66 · Junior 0.93), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Junior?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.