Football · Coppa Italia · 15/08, 18:30
Prediction: Udinese vs Padova
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Udinese1.83
Padova0.79
1X2
Udinese
Draw
Padova
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Udinese
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Padova
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Udinese
1–1
Padova
(2 last)
- Udinese2-3Padova
- Udinese1-0Padova
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Udinese 1483 · Padova 1511
| Udinese | Draw | Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Udinese | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Udinese 1–0–1 Padova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/24 Club Friendly List | Udinese | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Padova |
| 13/01/19 Europe Friendlies | Udinese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Padova |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Udinese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Barcelona Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Nottm Forest Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Trabzonspor Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Mainz Elite Club Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | Swansea Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Padova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Monza Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Cittadella Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | A.C. Ospitaletto Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Sassuolo Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Udinese vs Padova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Udinese win (61%). Probabilities: Udinese 61%, draw 24%, Padova 15%.
How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Padova?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Udinese 1.83 · Padova 0.79), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Udinese vs Padova?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.