Football · Coppa Italia · 15/08, 21:15
Prediction: Torino vs Carrarese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Torino2.11
Carrarese0.88
1X2
Torino
Draw
Carrarese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Torino
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Carrarese
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Torino 1535 · Carrarese 1503
| Torino | Draw | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torino | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Avellino Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 05/08 | FC Vado Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Burnley Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Cittadella Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Alcione Milano Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Acd Pinzolo Valrendena Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 13-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Carrarese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Virtus Entella Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Napoli Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/03 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torino vs Carrarese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torino win (65%). Probabilities: Torino 65%, draw 21%, Carrarese 14%.
How many goals are expected in Torino vs Carrarese?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Torino 2.11 · Carrarese 0.88), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Torino vs Carrarese?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.