Football · Coppa Italia · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: Frosinone vs Juve Stabia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Frosinone1.7
Juve Stabia0.97
1X2
Frosinone
Draw
Juve Stabia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Frosinone
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Juve Stabia
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frosinone
3–3–0
Juve Stabia
(6 last)
- Juve Stabia0-1Frosinone
- Frosinone3-0Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia1-1Frosinone
- Frosinone0-0Juve Stabia
- Frosinone2-2Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia0-2Frosinone
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frosinone 1572 · Juve Stabia 1515
| Frosinone | Draw | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frosinone (rating 1572 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Frosinone: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Frosinone | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 11/78/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.4 | 2.2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frosinone 3–3–0 Juve Stabia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Italy Serie B | Juve Stabia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Frosinone |
| 08/12/25 Italy Serie B | Frosinone | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Juve Stabia |
| 29/12/24 Italy Serie B | Juve Stabia | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Frosinone |
| 01/09/24 Italy Serie B | Frosinone | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Juve Stabia |
| 13/07/20 Italy Serie B | Frosinone | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Juve Stabia |
| 08/12/19 Italy Serie B | Juve Stabia | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Frosinone |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frosinone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lazio Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Benevento Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sambenedettese Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 0 | D |
| 26/07 | Ascoli Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Frosinone Calcio B Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Juve Stabia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Campobasso Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Cavese Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Ischia Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Potenza Club Friendly List |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frosinone vs Juve Stabia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Frosinone win (54%). Probabilities: Frosinone 54%, draw 25%, Juve Stabia 21%.
How many goals are expected in Frosinone vs Juve Stabia?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Frosinone 1.7 · Juve Stabia 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Juve Stabia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.