Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 10/08, 01:30
Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto
Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Universitario De Vinto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Oriente Petrolero2.13
Universitario De Vinto1.09
1X2
Oriente Petrolero
Draw
Universitario De Vinto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oriente Petrolero
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Universitario De Vinto
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oriente Petrolero
2–2–2
Universitario De Vinto
(6 last)
- Universitario De Vinto2-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero3-2Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto1-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero0-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto4-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero2-1Universitario De Vinto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1499 · Universitario De Vinto 1447
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1499 vs 1447).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oriente Petrolero | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.5 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 2–2–2 Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 03/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 21/05/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 04/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 21/11/24 Bolivia Clausura | Universitario De Vinto | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 19/05/24 Bolivia Clausura | Oriente Petrolero | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 30 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Club Aurora | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | Guabira | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 6 | Real Potosi | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Blooming | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 11 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 16 |
| 12 | Nacional Potosi | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Universitario De Vinto | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oriente Petrolero | Universitario De Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivar | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Aurora | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Blooming | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Guabira | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Potosi | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 11/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 05/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (60%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 60%, draw 22%, Universitario De Vinto 18%.
How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Oriente Petrolero 2.13 · Universitario De Vinto 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.