Prediction: Real Oruro vs Oriente Petrolero
Team pages: Real Oruro · Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero3-0Real Oruro
- Real Oruro1-1Oriente Petrolero
| Real Oruro | Draw | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1459 vs 1513).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Oruro | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 0–1–1 Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Real Oruro |
| 20/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Club Aurora | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Guabira | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Oriente Petrolero | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
| 9 | Blooming | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 16 |
| 13 | Nacional Potosi | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 15 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Universitario De Vinto | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Oruro | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Independiente Petrolero | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Guabira | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Nacional Potosi | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Universitario De Vinto | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | EM Huanuni Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 09/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 11/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs Oriente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Oruro win (52%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 52%, draw 23%, Oriente Petrolero 25%.
How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Real Oruro 2.07 · Oriente Petrolero 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.