Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 15/08, 23:15

Prediction: Guabira vs The Strongest

Team pages: Guabira · The Strongest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Guabira1.57

The Strongest1.41

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Guabira Draw The Strongest

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Guabira 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWDWW

The Strongest 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDDDWL

Head-to-head

Guabira 3–3 The Strongest (6 last)

Guabira3-2The Strongest
The Strongest2-1Guabira
Guabira2-1The Strongest
The Strongest5-1Guabira
Guabira1-0The Strongest
The Strongest3-2Guabira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guabira 1553 · The Strongest 1519

	Guabira	Draw	The Strongest
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guabira	The Strongest
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.9	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:23 +7’	2.25	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 3–0–3 The Strongest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Guabira	3-2 HT 1-0	The Strongest
19/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-0	Guabira
21/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Guabira	2-1 HT 2-0	The Strongest
03/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	5-1 HT 2-0	Guabira
20/10/24 Bolivia Clausura	Guabira	1-0 HT 0-0	The Strongest
24/05/24 Bolivia Clausura	The Strongest	3-2 HT 2-1	Guabira

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	14	10	3	1	31	8	33
2	Bolivar	14	8	3	3	32	15	27
3	The Strongest	14	7	6	1	21	14	27
4	Real Potosi	14	6	5	3	21	10	23
5	Club Aurora	14	5	7	2	23	19	22
6	Guabira	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
7	Oriente Petrolero	14	6	2	6	22	18	20
8	Independiente Petrolero	14	5	4	5	21	21	19
9	Blooming	14	4	6	4	17	16	18
10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	14	5	2	7	17	24	17
11	Real Oruro	14	5	2	7	25	35	17
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	14	5	1	8	24	29	16
13	Nacional Potosi	14	4	3	7	20	21	15
14	GV San Jose	14	2	6	6	14	21	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	14	3	2	9	17	30	11
16	Real Tomayapo	14	2	3	9	10	31	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guabira	The Strongest
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-0 W	3-1 W
Bolivar	0-4 L	1-1 D
Nacional Potosi	2-1 W	3-2 W
Oriente Petrolero	2-2 D	2-1 W
GV San Jose	3-0 W	0-0 D
Club Aurora	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: The Strongest (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guabira

LWDWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
05/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	15	8	W
31/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
25/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	5	W
18/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
29/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
18/05	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	5	10	W
15/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	5	10	D
09/05	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
02/05	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-4	1	7	L

The Strongest

WDWDWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
06/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	1	4	W
31/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
16/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
12/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
14/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/05	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
03/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guabira vs The Strongest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guabira win (41%). Probabilities: Guabira 41%, draw 26%, The Strongest 33%.

How many goals are expected in Guabira vs The Strongest?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Guabira 1.57 · The Strongest 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guabira vs The Strongest?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.