Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 16/08, 21:00

Prediction: Always Ready vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Always Ready · Real Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Always Ready2.5

Real Potosi0.58

1X2

79% 14% 6%

Always Ready Draw Real Potosi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Always Ready 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWDW

Real Potosi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLDWW

Head-to-head

Always Ready 5–1 Real Potosi (6 last)

Real Potosi3-2Always Ready
Always Ready2-1Real Potosi
Real Potosi3-5Always Ready
Always Ready4-1Real Potosi
Always Ready5-1Real Potosi
Real Potosi1-2Always Ready

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Always Ready 1563 · Real Potosi 1536

	Always Ready	Draw	Real Potosi
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Always Ready: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Always Ready	Real Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.4	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.77

2 (+2)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:40 +7’	1.14	7.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Always Ready 5–0–1 Real Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/11/21 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	3-2 HT 2-1	Always Ready
24/07/21 Bolivia Apertura	Always Ready	2-1 HT 0-1	Real Potosi
16/12/20 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	3-5 HT 2-3	Always Ready
12/02/20 Bolivia Apertura	Always Ready	4-1 HT 4-0	Real Potosi
05/12/19 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	5-1 HT 2-0	Real Potosi
06/08/19 Bolivia Clausura	Real Potosi	1-2 HT 1-0	Always Ready

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	14	10	3	1	31	8	33
2	Bolivar	14	8	3	3	32	15	27
3	The Strongest	14	7	6	1	21	14	27
4	Real Potosi	14	6	5	3	21	10	23
5	Club Aurora	14	5	7	2	23	19	22
6	Guabira	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
7	Oriente Petrolero	14	6	2	6	22	18	20
8	Independiente Petrolero	14	5	4	5	21	21	19
9	Blooming	14	4	6	4	17	16	18
10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	14	5	2	7	17	24	17
11	Real Oruro	14	5	2	7	25	35	17
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	14	5	1	8	24	29	16
13	Nacional Potosi	14	4	3	7	20	21	15
14	GV San Jose	14	2	6	6	14	21	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	14	3	2	9	17	30	11
16	Real Tomayapo	14	2	3	9	10	31	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Always Ready	Real Potosi
GV San Jose	3-2 W	0-0 D
Blooming	0-0 D	2-0 W
Bolivar	1-0 W	1-2 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-1 W	5-0 W
Universitario De Vinto	4-0 W	2-0 W
Real Oruro	6-0 W	1-2 L
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	3-1 W	3-1 W
The Strongest	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Always Ready (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Always Ready

LLLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
07/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
18/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-0	9	0	W
15/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	6-0	5	4	W
30/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	8	7	W
27/05	LDU Quito Copa Libertadores	2-1	2-3	11	3	L
20/05	Mirassol Copa Libertadores	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
14/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	14	7	L

Real Potosi

LDWDWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
16/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
12/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
09/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-1	4	7	W
10/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
01/05	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Always Ready vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Always Ready win (79%). Probabilities: Always Ready 79%, draw 14%, Real Potosi 6%.

How many goals are expected in Always Ready vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Always Ready 2.5 · Real Potosi 0.58), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Always Ready vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.