Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 16/08, 01:30

Prediction: Blooming vs Club Aurora

Team pages: Blooming · Club Aurora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Blooming1.88

Club Aurora1.15

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Blooming Draw Club Aurora

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Blooming 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWDLDL

Club Aurora 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWDDL

Head-to-head

Blooming 3–1–2 Club Aurora (6 last)

Blooming2-1Club Aurora
Blooming4-1Club Aurora
Club Aurora1-3Blooming
Club Aurora4-1Blooming
Blooming1-1Club Aurora
Club Aurora1-0Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blooming 1477 · Club Aurora 1500

	Blooming	Draw	Club Aurora
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	53%	25%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Blooming: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blooming	Club Aurora
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:31 +1’	1.73	3.60	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 3–1–2 Club Aurora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Blooming	2-1 HT 0-0	Club Aurora
01/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Blooming	4-1 HT 2-0	Club Aurora
03/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Club Aurora	1-3 HT 1-0	Blooming
14/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	4-1 HT 1-1	Blooming
04/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	Blooming	1-1 HT 0-1	Club Aurora
09/08/24 Bolivia Clausura	Club Aurora	1-0 HT 0-0	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	14	10	3	1	31	8	33
2	Bolivar	14	8	3	3	32	15	27
3	The Strongest	14	7	6	1	21	14	27
4	Real Potosi	14	6	5	3	21	10	23
5	Club Aurora	14	5	7	2	23	19	22
6	Guabira	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
7	Oriente Petrolero	14	6	2	6	22	18	20
8	Independiente Petrolero	14	5	4	5	21	21	19
9	Blooming	14	4	6	4	17	16	18
10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	14	5	2	7	17	24	17
11	Real Oruro	14	5	2	7	25	35	17
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	14	5	1	8	24	29	16
13	Nacional Potosi	14	4	3	7	20	21	15
14	GV San Jose	14	2	6	6	14	21	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	14	3	2	9	17	30	11
16	Real Tomayapo	14	2	3	9	10	31	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blooming	Club Aurora
The Strongest	1-1 D	1-1 D
Real Tomayapo	1-0 W	2-0 W
Oriente Petrolero	1-0 W	2-2 D
Independiente Petrolero	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Blooming

LLLWDWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
31/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
28/05	River Plate Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-3	0	2	L
22/05	Carabobo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
14/05	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	4	4	L

Club Aurora

WDWWLDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-4	6	6	L
05/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
31/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
25/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	3	10	W
19/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
10/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
02/06	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
16/05	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/05	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
02/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	4-2	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blooming vs Club Aurora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (53%). Probabilities: Blooming 53%, draw 25%, Club Aurora 22%.

How many goals are expected in Blooming vs Club Aurora?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Blooming 1.88 · Club Aurora 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Blooming vs Club Aurora?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.