Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 17/08, 01:30

Prediction: Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose

Team pages: Independiente Petrolero · GV San Jose

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Independiente Petrolero1.89

GV San Jose1.16

1X2

53% 24% 22%

Independiente Petrolero Draw GV San Jose

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Petrolero 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWDW

GV San Jose 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDWDDL

Head-to-head

Independiente Petrolero 0–1–3 GV San Jose (4 last)

GV San Jose2-1Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero0-2GV San Jose
Independiente Petrolero0-1GV San Jose
GV San Jose2-2Independiente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Petrolero 1473 · GV San Jose 1473

	Independiente Petrolero	Draw	GV San Jose
Our model	53%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GV San Jose: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Petrolero	GV San Jose
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	1.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:44 +6’	1.73	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Petrolero 0–1–3 GV San Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	2-1 HT 2-1	Independiente Petrolero
06/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	0-2 HT 0-0	GV San Jose
28/09/24 Bolivia Clausura	Independiente Petrolero	0-1 HT 0-1	GV San Jose
18/05/24 Bolivia Clausura	GV San Jose	2-2 HT 1-2	Independiente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	14	10	3	1	31	8	33
2	Bolivar	14	8	3	3	32	15	27
3	The Strongest	14	7	6	1	21	14	27
4	Real Potosi	14	6	5	3	21	10	23
5	Club Aurora	14	5	7	2	23	19	22
6	Guabira	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
7	Oriente Petrolero	14	6	2	6	22	18	20
8	Independiente Petrolero	14	5	4	5	21	21	19
9	Blooming	14	4	6	4	17	16	18
10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	14	5	2	7	17	24	17
11	Real Oruro	14	5	2	7	25	35	17
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	14	5	1	8	24	29	16
13	Nacional Potosi	14	4	3	7	20	21	15
14	GV San Jose	14	2	6	6	14	21	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	14	3	2	9	17	30	11
16	Real Tomayapo	14	2	3	9	10	31	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Petrolero	GV San Jose
The Strongest	2-1 W	0-0 D
Real Oruro	3-0 W	1-3 L
Real Potosi	1-2 L	0-0 D
Real Tomayapo	1-2 L	3-2 W
Blooming	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Petrolero (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Independiente Petrolero

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
05/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
01/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
26/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
22/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	2	9	L
13/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
28/05	Racing Club Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/05	Botafogo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
14/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-1	5	4	W

GV San Jose

LLWLDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
05/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
02/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
19/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
15/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
11/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	5	9	L
08/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-2	15	2	W
09/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
03/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Petrolero win (53%). Probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 53%, draw 24%, GV San Jose 22%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Independiente Petrolero 1.89 · GV San Jose 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.