Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Always Ready vs Universitario De Vinto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.22Total
Always Ready3.11
Universitario De Vinto1.11
1X2
Always Ready
Draw
Universitario De Vinto
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Always Ready
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Universitario De Vinto
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Always Ready
3–1–2
Universitario De Vinto
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Always Ready 1542 · Universitario De Vinto 1470
| Always Ready | Draw | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Always Ready (rating 1542 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Always Ready: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Always Ready | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.1 | 2.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Always Ready 3–1–2 Universitario De Vinto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Always Ready | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 27/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 0-7 HT 0-4 | Always Ready |
| 24/11/24 Bolivia Clausura | Universitario De Vinto | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Always Ready |
| 29/07/24 Bolivia Clausura | Always Ready | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 07/04/24 Bolivia Apertura | Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Always Ready |
| 17/02/24 Bolivia Apertura | Always Ready | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Blooming | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Real Oruro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Potosi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Always Ready | Universitario De Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 6-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 3-1 W | 5-2 W |
| The Strongest | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Petrolero | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Always Ready (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Always Ready
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | LDU Quito Copa Libertadores |
2-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/05 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/04 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 05/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/03 | Real Oruro America Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 14 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Always Ready vs Universitario De Vinto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Always Ready win (82%). Probabilities: Always Ready 82%, draw 11%, Universitario De Vinto 7%.
How many goals are expected in Always Ready vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model expects 4.22 goals (Always Ready 3.11 · Universitario De Vinto 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Always Ready vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.