Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 18/07, 02:00
Prediction: Bolivar vs Guabira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Bolivar2.82
Guabira0.82
1X2
Bolivar
Draw
Guabira
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bolivar
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Guabira
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bolivar
6–0
Guabira
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolivar 1507 · Guabira 1483
| Bolivar | Draw | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bolivar: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bolivar | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.8 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 6 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar 6–0–0 Guabira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Bolivar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 20/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 2-4 HT 1-0 | Bolivar |
| 21/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Bolivar | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 22/09/24 Bolivia Clausura | Guabira | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 08/07/23 Bolivia Apertura | Bolivar | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 05/02/23 Bolivia Apertura | Guabira | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Blooming | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Real Oruro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Potosi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bolivar | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosi | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Blooming | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| GV San Jose | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Guabira (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 15/05 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 23/04 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/03 | Independiente Petrolero Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolivar vs Guabira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar win (78%). Probabilities: Bolivar 78%, draw 14%, Guabira 8%.
How many goals are expected in Bolivar vs Guabira?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Bolivar 2.82 · Guabira 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bolivar vs Guabira?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.