Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 07/08, 23:15

Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Guabira

Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · Guabira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

Academia de Balompie Boliviano2.4

Guabira1.63

1X2

54% 22% 25%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw Guabira

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLDW

Guabira 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–1–1 Guabira (2 last)

Guabira5-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-1Guabira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1466 · Guabira 1523

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Draw	Guabira
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	53%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guabira (rating 1466 vs 1523).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Guabira
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.8	5.3 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:05 +1’	1.73	4.10	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–1–1 Guabira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Guabira	5-1 HT 2-1	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
16/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-1 HT 0-1	Guabira

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	12	9	2	1	28	6	29
2	The Strongest	12	6	6	0	17	10	24
3	Club Aurora	13	5	7	1	21	15	22
4	Bolivar	12	6	3	3	26	12	21
5	Guabira	13	5	3	5	22	26	18
6	Real Potosi	12	4	5	3	17	10	17
7	Blooming	12	4	5	3	17	14	17
8	Oriente Petrolero	12	5	2	5	16	16	17
9	Independiente Petrolero	13	4	4	5	19	20	16
10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	13	5	1	7	24	28	16
11	Nacional Potosi	12	4	3	5	17	16	15
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	13	4	2	7	15	23	14
13	Real Oruro	13	4	2	7	23	34	14
14	GV San Jose	13	2	6	5	12	18	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	12	3	2	7	17	23	11
16	Real Tomayapo	13	2	3	8	9	29	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Guabira
Real Oruro	4-1 W	4-1 W
Real Tomayapo	1-1 D	3-0 W
Club Aurora	2-3 L	2-4 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1-2 L	2-1 W
Always Ready	1-3 L	1-2 L
Oriente Petrolero	3-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guabira (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

WLWLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
25/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	4	10	L
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
16/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
09/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
30/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	1	7	L
11/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	9	4	W
03/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	0	2	L
25/04	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-2	10	9	W

Guabira

LLWDWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	15	8	W
31/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
25/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	5	W
18/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
29/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
18/05	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	5	10	W
15/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	5	10	D
09/05	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
02/05	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-4	1	7	L
26/04	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	6	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Guabira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia de Balompie Boliviano win (54%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 54%, draw 22%, Guabira 25%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Guabira?

The model expects 4.03 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2.4 · Guabira 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Guabira?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.