Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 08/08, 01:30
Prediction: Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
Team pages: Real Tomayapo · Real Oruro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Real Tomayapo2.24
Real Oruro1.62
1X2
Real Tomayapo
Draw
Real Oruro
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Tomayapo
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Real Oruro
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Tomayapo
1–1–2
Real Oruro
(4 last)
- Real Oruro5-2Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo1-1Real Oruro
- Real Oruro2-0Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo3-2Real Oruro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Tomayapo 1423 · Real Oruro 1434
| Real Tomayapo | Draw | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Oruro: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Tomayapo | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 1 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Tomayapo 1–1–2 Real Oruro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 5-2 HT 1-2 | Real Tomayapo |
| 17/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Tomayapo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Real Oruro |
| 25/06/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Oruro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 21/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Real Oruro |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Guabira | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Potosi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Blooming | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Independiente Petrolero | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 16 |
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 14 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 14 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Universitario De Vinto | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Tomayapo | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Guabira | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| GV San Jose | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Tomayapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | EM Huanuni Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 09/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | CD Guadalajara Qaqachaca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Tomayapo win (51%). Probabilities: Real Tomayapo 51%, draw 23%, Real Oruro 27%.
How many goals are expected in Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Real Tomayapo 2.24 · Real Oruro 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.